Distress Watch

Model-ranked refinancing and distress risk: markets ordered by E7 distress probability, joined with E5 refinancing risk, DSCR and debt-stress conditions. Covers CREMI-localized markets (Office / Industrial / Retail).

Provenance: E7 (Distress Detection) + E5 (Debt & Financing) — validation status for both engines is in the Accuracy Registry. Rankings are hash-committed to the Forecast Ledger.

Distress probability is not validated out of sample; the backtest artifact in the registry does not describe the currently-serving model, and its components are under remediation (rulings R1/R9). See the Accuracy Registry for the artifact record. Accuracy Registry